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In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?
26
100Ṁ1326
2031
1%
2024
1%
2025
9%
2026
27%
2027
23%
2028
17%
2029
22%
Later

The release must have large coverage; I should be able to call the robotaxi anywhere I can call an Uber. A fully self-driving car which is not marketed as a taxi service will not count.

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In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
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shouldn't 24 and 25 resolve no? @mr_mino

comprou Ṁ15 NO

@notarealuser unfortunately I can only resolve one option YES, I don’t have the option to resolve NO early

If a software update is pushed to existing Teslas allowing owners to "rent out" their Teslas as self-driving robotaxis, but no new vehicle is released, will that be sufficient to resolve to yes?

Yes, so long as the coverage is as general as Uber/Lyft.

Pessoas também estão operando

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
Will Tesla have a operational Robotaxi that they are announcing on 8/8 operation in the US, by the end of 2026?
90% chance
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service in California by the end of 2026?
2% chance
Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?
Tesla robotaxi on fire by end of 2026?
18% chance
Tesla Robotaxi Service at-fault accident or non-fully-autonomous by 2026?
94% chance
Will Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?
7% chance
When will a Tesla Robovan offer its first public, autonomous ride?
5/29/30
Will the Tesla Bot be available by 2028?
24% chance
Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028
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