Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027? | Axel

Em alta Urgente Novo

Política Esportes Cripto Finanças Geopolítica Resultados Tecnologia Cultura Mundo Economia Eleições

Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027?

28

1kṀ877

2028

53%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Currently, cosmological simulations such as IllustrisTNG or Eagle are run by solving (magneto)hydrodynamical equations numerically. By the end of 2027 will at least one of the leading projects of the time (by number of citations and based on my judgment) rely critically on machine learning technology such as graph neural networks?

For this to resolve YES the main hydro/n-body simulation engine must become AI accelerated, not just the subgrid physics.

Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Ordenar por:

comprou Ṁ30 YES

Seems like the sort of thing neural network potentials and stuff would be good at

Graph neural nets have been used in hydrodynamics in contexts where real time data is available (e.g. in atmospheric science) but the absence of a clear ground truth in the cosmological context may be problematic

Pessoas também estão operando

Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?

Will an AI simulate human consciousness by 2100?

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Will an AI be solely responsible for an AI breakthrough by the end of 2030?

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

Will there be a curve shift in general AI capabilities by the end of 2028?

Will an AI run a factory by the end of 2028 (start of 2029)

Will there be at least a "close call" with a powerful misaligned AI before 2100?

Perguntas relacionadas

Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?

Will an AI simulate human consciousness by 2100?

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Will an AI be solely responsible for an AI breakthrough by the end of 2030?

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

Will there be a curve shift in general AI capabilities by the end of 2028?

Will an AI run a factory by the end of 2028 (start of 2029)

Will there be at least a "close call" with a powerful misaligned AI before 2100?

© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade