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Will US GDP growth be greater than 10% in 2029?
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Ordenar por:

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2003893474878541841

comprou Ṁ30 NO

I think more than 5%, less than 10%

That growth, sounds so fast,
But such wealth won't last,
Pledged, all, to reparations,
Leaving nothing for celebrations.

previuYES

If someone has suggested source for resolution criteria lmk.

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Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% per year by the end of 2033?
-5% 1d10% chance
Will any year's US GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?
22% chance
Will US Real GDP accelerate dramatically over 2023-2026?
4% chance
Will US real GDP in Q1 2030 be at least 50% greater than in Q1 2025?
44% chance
Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?
60% chance
Will there be at least one year by 2030 (incl.) in which real US GDP grows by >=10% as measured from a prior peak?
30% chance
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?
56% chance
Will the GDP of the US be greater than 30 trillion dollars in 2030?
92% chance
Will the GDP of the US be greater than 40 trillion dollars in 2030?
32% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
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