Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?
35
502Ṁ5139Dec 31
8%
chance
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Only intraday values will be used.
If it passes at any point during 2026, this market resolves "yes".
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takeoff.watch forecast: 13%. Alphabet has not passed Nvidia intraday in 2026; it came within about 1% in early May. Nvidia now leads about $5.77T to $4.24T, so Alphabet needs roughly 36% relative outperformance in about 61 sessions. Options, past volatility and Polymarket pricing all point to roughly 12–14%.
Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot
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