Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028?
10
150αΉ€1414
2027
83%
chance

When integrated with tools such as formal proof verifiers, internet search, and symbolic math packages, I expect, say, 2026-level AI, when used properly, will be a trustworthy co-author in mathematical research, and in many other fields as well.

this one is for 2028

Resolves YES if a real professional mathematician claims this happened for them, unless consensus of other experts is that it didn't happen

https://unlocked.microsoft.com/ai-anthology/terence-tao/

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