What is the next country to invoke NATO Article 5?
40
1.6kṀ56262029
46%
---NO ARTICLE 5 BEFORE 2030---
15%
8%
Romania
8%
Germany
5%
United States of America
5%
Poland
4%
Lithuania
3%
Estonia
1.9%
Finland
1.3%
Denmark
market for Article 4:
Update 2026-08-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The trigger is defined as an official action.
If multiple countries trigger Article 5 at the same time, the market will split resolve between them.
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@Sqeedee trigger is an official action - we will know if some country was first or some did it at the same time. In the latter case, the resolution should split, i dont see other option
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