Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?
15
10kṀ14k
2037
53%
chance

Will resolve to yes if the United States of America still exists and num of states == 50.

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if one state drops and another state splits, would that still count as "50", even though the fifty states are different ?

I presume you mean "== 50“? What you wrote in the description contradicts the question title, no?

yes, fixed thx!

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