Will Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war?
3
1kṀ650
2027
43%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the formal conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukraine militarily recaptures Sumy Oblast. For the purpose of this market, Ukraine has recaptured Sumy Oblast once Russia controls no more than 100 square kilometres of the region.

This market will otherwise resolve NO.

Clarifications

The close date may be extended as necessary.

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