Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?
77
2kṀ22k2029
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves YES if
trump formally announces a campaign for the 2028 election, whether or not it is legal at the time
other republicans campaign trump as a party candidate
he wins the 2028 election, even if he does not formally announce he is running
resolves NO if
trump announces he will not run for a 3rd term at the time of market close
this market will resolve NO if legislation is introduced/passed that makes a 3rd term legally possible, but trump decides not to run by the end of the election
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@strutheo Are the YES conditions slated as "and" or "or"? Does only one need to be fulfilled, or all 3?
This market but more shenanigans allowed:
https://manifold.markets/TimothyBandors/will-trump-win-a-third-term-as-pres
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