Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026?
1
100Ṁ852027
35%
chance
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This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 90%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
YES if: TOPCon share >= 90% for 2026 NO if: TOPCon share < 90% for 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
CPIA annual report — technology mix table
InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook
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