Will there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?
13
100Ṁ18682027
88%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
6% chance
Will China restrict the open release of frontier AI models above a capability threshold by end of 2026?
17% chance
At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena?
31% chance
Will any AI model score above 95% on ARC-AGI-2 by end of 2026?
91% chance
Will the top model on LiveBench be Chinese on Jan 1st, 2028?
40% chance
Will a Chinese model top LMArena by EOY 2026?
34% chance
Will China restrict the open release of frontier AI models above a capability threshold by end of 2027?
64% chance
Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Will the top Chinese AI model exceed the top US AI model before 2028?
38% chance
Will any AI model achieve 4k on CodeForces by EOY?
63% chance