Will a Chinese model top LMArena by EOY 2026?
9
100Ṁ330
Dec 31
34%
chance

Background

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if a model from a Chinese labs is listed at the top of the text leaderboard according to the Default sort at any point from now (Oct 23 2025) until EOY 2026.

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someone needs to turn these into prediction markets

vendeu Ṁ30 NO

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