
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of an international project?
7
100Ṁ1452040
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve positively if the AI system that resolves the question Date first AGI is publicly known. was developed by a research group working for an international project.
“International project” means a formally organized, multinational endeavor involving two or more countries (via public funding, formal agreements, or institutional structures spanning multiple nations), similar in spirit to collaborations like the Human Genome Project or CERN. Indicators of “international project” status include: official involvement of multiple governments or governmental agencies, shared funding from multiple countries, or internationally chartered organizations.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will AI create the first AGI?
42% chance
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?
Which company will create AGI first?
Will the first AGI be an LLM that emulates Nobel-prize-worthy scientific research?
26% chance
Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?
Will a Manhattan/ Apollo type project towards AGI/ ASI be launched? (or has been)
52% chance
If there exists a super-intelligent AI, would majority of AI researchers answer Yes to "Have we reached AGI?" ?
67% chance
By when will we have AGI?