This market resolves YES if, by June 30, 2027, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.

YES if by June 30, 2027:

• All Kachin border crossings closed to RE trade for 30+ consecutive days

• Closure caused by KIA-China diplomatic/commercial breakdown (not weather/logistics)

NO if:

• No 30+ day consecutive halt has occurred by June 30, 2027

• Any closures were shorter than 30 days or caused by non-commercial factors

Resolution sources (priority order):

1. Myanmar Now border crossing reporting (myanmar-now.org)

2. The Irrawaddy China-Myanmar watch (irrawaddy.com)

3. Chinese customs/trade media

4. BNI Online (bnionline.net)

5. KIA/KIO official statements