Will China restrict exports of iridium on December 31, 2026?
3
100á¹€76
Dec 31
90%
chance
45

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary unwrought or powder iridium under the iridium, osmium, and ruthenium tariff family HS 711041 and 711049. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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