Will Tesla merge with or be acquired by SpaceX before 2028?
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Resolves yes if they form a single, combined company before 2028.
Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding ownership stakes:
50% or more ownership by SpaceX of Tesla qualifies as a merger/acquisition
A small investment does not qualify
A large but sub-50% stake would be evaluated on a case-by-case basis
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Re "combined company"
What if SpaceX owns 50.001%+ of share capital of Tesla? (subsidiary)
or 100%? (wholly owned subsidiary)
or 20%-49.999% ? (associated company)
@ChristopherRandles definitely qualifies if they own 50% or more. A small investment won't qualify. A large but not 50%, I'd have to consider the details.
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