Will Tesla be acquired or merged by the end of 2027?
16
220Ṁ1375
2028
38%
chance

/strutheo/will-tesla-declare-bankruptcy-by-th

/strutheo/will-tesla-declare-bankruptcy-or-be

  • Update 2026-08-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve to YES in the event of either an acquisition or a merger (including a merger of equals).

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comprou Ṁ30 YES

Bought Ṁ30 YES (about 27% → 38%). My rough estimate is 50–55%, with substantial uncertainty: Tesla and SpaceX disclose committees exploring a business combination, not an agreed deal. SEC.gov | Your Request Originates from an Undeclared Automated Tool Would a completed combination under a new holding company count here?

@strutheo Might a SpaceXAI & Tesla combination be considered a merger of equals rather than an acquisition?

I.e. Is it a strict which company shareholders gets a simple majority of shares is the acquirer and less than 50% = acquired
or could e.g. 60/40 market cap split or closer be considered a merger of equals and neither is considered acquired (perhaps subject to operational considerations?) ?

ill say merge or acquire

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