Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?
62
1kṀ5090
2030
60%
chance

Resolves YES if Ilya's company offers ANY commercial or free product, of any kind, in violation of their mission statement not to do so, OR if their company merges with or is sold to a company that offers a product.

Resolves NO if artificial superintelligence is created or comes to be, anywhere, in any way.

Resolves NO if Ilya's company folds such that it clearly will never be part of another company or release a product.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Ordenar por:

Ilya saying in his recent interview with Dwarkesh:

"one of the things that I recently changed my mind about, that may backpropagate into the plans of my company is that if it [the power of AI] is hard to imagine , you gotta be showing the thing"

https://youtu.be/aR20FWCCjAs?t=3469

Ilya in the SSI offices: https://youtu.be/o9A-w11--8o

comprou Ṁ50 NO

Why is this at 60%?

It seems obviously >50% that the company closes down without doing anything.

© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade