Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?
67
1ká¹€74912030
82%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Ilya's company offers ANY commercial or free product, of any kind, in violation of their mission statement not to do so, OR if their company merges with or is sold to a company that offers a product.
Resolves NO if artificial superintelligence is created or comes to be, anywhere, in any way.
Resolves NO if Ilya's company folds such that it clearly will never be part of another company or release a product.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
When will SSI release their first model?
2/19/27
When will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release its first product?
Will Ineffable Intelligence release a paper or model before SSI?
45% chance
Will we get ASI before 2027?
1% chance
Will ASI be developed 5+ years after AGI?
42% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
Will we get ASI before 2029?
7% chance
Will we get ASI before 2034?
28% chance
Will we get ASI before 2031?
17% chance
Will we get ASI before 2035?
30% chance
Ordenar por:
Ilya saying in his recent interview with Dwarkesh:
"one of the things that I recently changed my mind about, that may backpropagate into the plans of my company is that if it [the power of AI] is hard to imagine , you gotta be showing the thing"
https://youtu.be/aR20FWCCjAs?t=3469
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
When will SSI release their first model?
2/19/27
When will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release its first product?
Will Ineffable Intelligence release a paper or model before SSI?
45% chance
Will we get ASI before 2027?
1% chance
Will ASI be developed 5+ years after AGI?
42% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
Will we get ASI before 2029?
7% chance
Will we get ASI before 2034?
28% chance
Will we get ASI before 2031?
17% chance
Will we get ASI before 2035?
30% chance

