Will someone disrupt the global semiconductor supply chain by disrupting high-purity quartz mines by EOY 2028?
32
1kṀ14372029
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

This will resolve YES if by the end of 2028, someone causes a significant disruption in the global semiconductor supply chain by the disruption of high-purity quartz mines. If an attack happens close to the resolution date, trading will be extended to see the effects.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Will Spruce Pine, NC high-purity quartz mining be fully operational on December 31, 2026?
21% chance
Will China restrict exports of silicon metal on December 31, 2026?
10% chance
Will any advanced AI chip fabs or their key supply chains be heavily physically damaged deliberately by 2028?
25% chance
Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?
7% chance
Will China restrict exports of erbium on December 31, 2026?
60% chance
Will China restrict exports of dysprosium or terbium on December 31, 2026?
86% chance
Major semiconductor shipment from Taiwan to Tier-1 AI country fails delivery by end of 2026
30% chance
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
15% chance
Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?
30% chance
Will China restrict exports of fluorspar on December 31, 2026?
87% chance
Ordenar por:
comprou Ṁ45 NO
To be clear, you don't mean "disrupt" in the silicon-valley sense (i.e. make a splash in the industry). You mean like, physically intervene in the mining process. Right?
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will Spruce Pine, NC high-purity quartz mining be fully operational on December 31, 2026?
21% chance
Will China restrict exports of silicon metal on December 31, 2026?
10% chance
Will any advanced AI chip fabs or their key supply chains be heavily physically damaged deliberately by 2028?
25% chance
Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?
7% chance
Will China restrict exports of erbium on December 31, 2026?
60% chance
Will China restrict exports of dysprosium or terbium on December 31, 2026?
86% chance
Major semiconductor shipment from Taiwan to Tier-1 AI country fails delivery by end of 2026
30% chance
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
15% chance
Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?
30% chance
Will China restrict exports of fluorspar on December 31, 2026?
87% chance