Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
1
100Ṁ20Dec 31
38%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if China's Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) or State Council has active export control measures — including licensing requirements, quotas, or bans — specifically targeting silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2026.
YES if: Active MOFCOM export licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2026 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions with no additional restrictions
Resolution sources (priority order):
China MOFCOM export control registry (mofcom.gov.cn)
China State Council / NDRC official trade policy announcements
US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates
Reuters, Bloomberg, FT China trade policy reporting
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2027?
38% chance
Will China continue gallium export restrictions targeting Japan on May 1, 2026?
91% chance
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on June 30, 2026?
56% chance
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2026?
57% chance
Will China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2026?
52% chance
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2027?
71% chance
Will China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2027?
57% chance
Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?
30% chance
Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2027?
40% chance
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on June 30, 2027?
68% chance