Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2027?
1
100á¹€102027
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if China has active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2027.
YES if: Active MOFCOM licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2027 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions
Resolution sources (priority order):
China MOFCOM export control registry
US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates
Reuters, Bloomberg, FT China trade reporting
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
84% chance
Will China restrict exports of chromium or ferrochrome on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of niobium on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
15% chance
Will China restrict exports of silicon metal on December 31, 2026?
10% chance
Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2026?
77% chance
Will China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2026?
57% chance
Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?
30% chance
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of tungsten on December 31, 2026?
88% chance