Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2027?
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This market resolves YES if China has active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2027.
YES if: Active MOFCOM licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2027 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions
Resolution sources (priority order):
China MOFCOM export control registry
US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates
Reuters, Bloomberg, FT China trade reporting
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