Will SADR (Western Sahara) be a sovereign state before 2040?
5
90Ṁ1182040
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If SADR joins the UN as a sovereign state, resolves as YES
If SADR is self-declared sovereign and has >90% of international recognition, resolves as YES
If SADR is self-declared sovereign and has <90% of international recognition, resolves as the percentage of countries that recognize its independence
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will there be a war between Algeria and Morocco before 2031?
30% chance
Will Somaliland be an internationally-recognized sovereign state before 2040?
79% chance
Will at least 40 countries recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic on Jan 1st 2030?
34% chance
Will Greenland be a sovereign state before 2040?
31% chance
Will any part of French Polynesia be a sovereign state before 2040?
28% chance
Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034?
65% chance
Will Northern Cyprus be a sovereign state before 2040?
24% chance
Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?
68% chance
United nations - will it stand by 2040?
Will Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?
15% chance