Will any part of French Polynesia be a sovereign state before 2040?
4
70Ṁ612040
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If it joins the UN as a sovereign state, resolves as YES
If it is self-declared sovereign and has >90% of international recognition, resolves as YES
If it is self-declared sovereign and has <90% of international recognition, resolves as the percentage of countries that recognize its independence
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will French Polynesia become independent from France by the end of 2037?
22% chance
Will New Caledonia become independent of France before 2035?
31% chance
Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?
30% chance
Will any of these countries enter into a pact similar to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?
Will Greenland be a sovereign state before 2040?
31% chance
Will there be a 6th Republic in France before 2050?
41% chance
Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?
41% chance
Will Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?
5% chance
Will any other country enter into a similar agreement to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?
75% chance
Bougainville an independent country by 2028?
58% chance