Will Manifold consider Claude Sonnet 4.6 to be a frontier model?
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Sometime on Feb 27, I will make a poll:

Is Sonnet 4.6 a frontier model?

  • Yes

  • No

  • See results/unsure

If there are more YES votes than NO votes, this market resolves YES. (a tie resolves NO)

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oh this'll be close!

Maybe this is the point, but it feels it will likely be more a question about how people define frontier models than about the capabilities of Sonnet?

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