
Will Labour form a 2 term government?
25
1kṀ54872029
26%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Labour are very likely to win the July 2024 general election. But will they win the one after that?
Resolves YES if both (1) after the July 2024 there is a Labour government, and (2) the same is true of the general election after that.
Notes:
(a) if there is a minority government, it is the party of the PM that counts
(b) if there are multiple PMs in a parliament, it is the first one who counts, with the exception that it is a hung parliament and the sitting PM lasts less than 28 days after the general election (as happened in 2010 when Brown remained PM for 5 days after the GE).
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