What does "win" mean? A majority of seats? More seats than anyone else? Forming the government?

I think we’ll say it means forming a government or a coalition

@LukeShadwell if they’re the junior partner in the coalition, would that count?

I’d suggest no. In particular maybe a good/easy resolution criterion is whether they have the prime ministership after the election?

@GoodGuesser Very sorry that I missed this, if they are the junior we will N/A. Same as my other market. Major in coalition or party wins is “win”