Will Keir Starmer be on the ballot in the next Labour leadership election?
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This market will resolve when the UK Labour Party holds its next leadership election, and I can figure out who is on the ballot. I'm trying to get at whether Starmer will contest a leadership challenge without getting bogged down by details of procedure.
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Another way to put this is that I'm trying to get at whether Starmer will fight a challenge to the end, in the colloquial meaning of the word challenge (rather than it's formal meaning within the Labour Party rules)
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