Will I reach 300 Questions by August 18, 2026 (8/18/26)? (This is my 151st.)
10
100á¹€116
Aug 17
68%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if I have published at least 300 total questions on Manifold by August 18, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

  • Source of truth: The public question count on my Manifold profile.

  • Any questions that are deleted, merged, or otherwise not reflected in my profile's active question count at the time of resolution will not count toward the 300-question threshold.

Background

As of the creation of this market on July 4, 2026, I have published 151 questions. To reach the target of 300 questions by August 18, 2026 (a period of 45 days), I must create 149 more questions, which requires an average of approximately 3.31 new questions per day.

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