Resolution criteria

• This market resolves to YES if, on or before August 28, 2028, at 11:59 PM UTC, at least one user referred to Manifold Markets by the market creator has created 100 or more public questions.

• Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Definitions & Rules:

  • A referred user is defined as anyone who signed up for Manifold Markets using the creator's referral link, or is otherwise verified by the creator or Manifold database as having been referred by the creator.

  • The count of created questions will be determined by the number of public markets shown under the "Created" tab on the referred user's Manifold profile.

Background

This market tracks the onboarding and long-term engagement of new users to Manifold Markets. Rather than just tracking sign-ups, this market requires the creator to refer at least one highly active user who becomes a prolific creator themselves, reaching the milestone of 100 created questions before the deadline in 2028.

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