Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.
14
100Ṁ324Dec 31
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> Resolves YES if either of the following occurs by December 31, 2026:
> AI Chip Sanctions Lifted: The US officially removes export controls on current-generation, high-performance AI chips (e.g., top-tier data center GPUs) to China. Minor exceptions for legacy chips do not count.
> Co-Developed Frontier LLM: Major US and Chinese entities (state or private sector) formally announce a joint venture or partnership to co-develop a frontier Large Language Model. Informal, ad-hoc open-source contributions do not count.
> Resolves NO if neither happens. Verification will be based on major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, FT) or official government press releases.
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