China and USA form an AI coalition by EOY 2028
10
1kṀ52732028
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if China and the USA either join forces in the race to ASI or form an agreement that whoever is first to achieve ASI will share the resulting prosperity with the other.
Resolves NO if no such agreement is formed before end-of-year 2028.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.
20% chance
By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?
By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?
5% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
66% chance
Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?
41% chance
Will China or the US announce ‘AGI’ first?
60% chance
OpenAI has AI CEO by EOY 2026?
4% chance
By 2030 will China have reached AI flops/$ parity with the US?
37% chance
Will China nerf its AI industry before the US does?
74% chance
Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
9% chance