Will any AI consistently get a perfect score on Maxim Lott's offline IQ test by the end of 2027?
39
1kṀ18502028
69%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.maximumtruth.org/p/deep-dive-ai-progress-continues-as
Vision mode. Must get a perfect score on 3 consecutive tests, as displayed by the website. (Open to tweaking if the website changes its display or testing procedure.)
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Ordenar por:
By the way @MaximLott are you concerned about the offline test making it into training data from your conversations? Most companies are presumably using those as training data for their next models.
In your case this might not be that big a deal since you're not providing correct answers I suppose.
comprou Ṁ20 NO
Definitely not 63 % chance. I expect the plateau in 'talent' to continue for a little while longer
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will any AI model score above 90% on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark before April 2026?
59% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
35% chance
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
43% chance
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
49% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
66% chance
In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA benchmark?
12/13/26
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?
81% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2027?
56% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?
90% chance
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?
80% chance