
Will a real alternative to EUV emerge before 2028?
6
100Ṁ2472028
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I read a thing on twitter from Tsmc employee. If a process that seriously competes with EUV comes out, then this resolves. I’ll be fair in judging it.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Does China have an ASML EUV machine? (as of June 19, 2026)
14% chance
Will the hypothetical Planet 9 be discovered before 2028?
1% chance
Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2026?
27% chance
Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?
7% chance
Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2027?
27% chance
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?
80% chance
Will China have a domestic EUV maker by 2030?
60% chance
Pat Gelsinger's bet: Wavelength below 13.5nm (EUV) used in lithography before April 2036?
42% chance
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2027?
69% chance
Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033?
17% chance