
Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?
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Major social media platform = ≥100M active users according to Wikipedia
Privacy-preserving proof of personhood = any infrastructure that allows carbon-based Homo sapiens (and no other entities like AIs) prove they're unique individuals without revealing their identity, e.g. something like this
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I don't know exactly what threat models you're referring to with "quickly worked-around by social engineering, straw accounts, or GAN learning" so it's hard to say.
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