[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
21
5.1kṀ7898Dec 31
19%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, an EU Regulation or EU Directive is adopted that (i) requires at least one social media platform or AI chatbot to use mandatory age verification for EU users, or (ii) in the case of a Directive, requires Member States to ensure such an obligation is imposed on those services.
Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that questions about resolution should be directed to the Metaculus question, as this market resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Ordenar por:
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
OpenAI rolls out mandatory age verification for ChatGPT in the U.S. before March 1, 2026
97% chance
If Discord rolls out global age verification requirements, will the age verification data be breached in 2026?
18% chance
Will another country pass an age restriction on social media by the end of 2026?
91% chance
Will people get blackmailed due to UK's age verification law before 2027?
33% chance
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
23% chance
Will a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?
41% chance
Will AI-generated media on major social media platforms be required to be labeled as such by the US government by 2026?
8% chance
Will the ESRB start using facial recognition to verify age before 2030?
19% chance
Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026?
Will the EU AI Code of Practice be violated by any of the original signers by end of 2027?
35% chance