it died? asystole

Just asking for fun, what if someone was not famous at time of betting but then their Wikipedia article got validly expanded so they become famous?

@SavioMak who validates the validators

@MattCWilson validator validators

@findleyturbo but ofc

I know several people with what I would have considered substantial wikipedia pages, but none are over 1000 words. That bar is pretty high.

I wouldn't enjoyed recruiting them for something as trivial as a few mana in any case.

Fun market though! It'll be interesting just to see who we get.

I'm thinking about selling for a -50% return...

@realDonaldTrump I was too... I managed to exit profitable though.

@Velaris lucky

Does Snapchat count?

who is that

@bens as in Snapchat followers?

why number go up??

@realDonaldTrump Reverse theta decay and Quroe making random bets + herd behavior.

In short, no reason at all.

@Velaris More like: no reason at all to short?

@MattCWilson Stop sabotaging my attempt at sounding smart.

@Velaris next question - who, um, tells POTUS to bid, here? slight flaw in my plan I suppose. I thought pushing a button, even a red one, was his shtick, no?

If he does, you can take comfort he'd be "on your side" then, at least. Right?

Funny possibility: somebody bets their entire balance on NO, is inadvertently propelled to infamy, market resolves YES

@Traveel I’d bet my entire balance on Manifold in exchange for 1M Twitter followers lol.

@bens Of all the invocations of the monkey's paw I've ever heard...

If the probability gets too high, cryptic can just cash out.

Question: Why isn't semi betting on this market? too suspicious?

@MIMIRMAGNVS Semi has too much clout. Everybody would just ride their coat tails.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tressie_McMillan_Cottom

They got a famous person: https://manifold.markets/TmcTmc

Just a matter of time until she bets. Professor at University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Information and Library Science (SILS), same department as @CrypticQccZ (maybe they're a grad student working for her?)

Word count is close, but doesn't look manipulated from the wiki edit history, so legitimate victory. Congrats!

@bens I don't follow. What?

@bens We know nothing about Cryptic other than the loan and their trading behavior.

@Quroe look up their handle on other social media platforms

@bens Explain it like I'm 5. I don't see it with a simple copy paste.

@Quroe can't give away my social media brute force handle search alpha

@bens I don't believe you then. 😆

@Quroe

@MIMIRMAGNVS

I mean, power to them if the account is active.

I think it's more likely we get CGPGrey back than this.

@bens i don't know this person, i don't go to UNC, and i'm not a grad student. sorry to say!

@CrypticQccZ likely story, given the hundreds of replies you’ve left on each other’s internal UNC forum posts

@bens if you're so certain... ??
https://manifold.markets/Desert/if-a-famous-person-bets-on-the-famo#rowxcfd7v8

@MattCWilson He's FUDmaxxing

@CrypticQccZ I dare say it worked.

maybe? or there's some other famous person that got in first?

If anybody wants to shame Ben for this play...

/Quroe/bens-shame-index-bsi

@bens come on, you obvs created that account now