Which will be the second of these things to happen in 2026?
9
450Ṁ1322Dec 31
24%
The Leader of a top-10 GDP country dies.
18%
The EU AI Act fully enters into force (key provisions enforced, not just passed).
13%
Rockstar Games officially releases Grand Theft Auto VI.
11%
Only one of these will happen in 2026.
5%
A human lands on the Moon in a crewed mission.
4%
The executives/government coalitions in at least 3 top-10 GDP countries holds less than 50% of their national parliament at the same time.
2%
A new country is officially recognized by the United Nations.
2%
A formal peace treaty is signed by Ukraine and Russia.
2%
A peer-reviewed paper claims strong biosignatures on another planet or moon and is widely accepted (e.g., cited by NASA/ESA) as credible.
2%
A major social media platform completely bans the use of anonymous accounts.
2%
A country formally declares the climate crisis a national security emergency.
2%
BRICS members, partners, candidates are involved on opposite sites of wars or military campaigns or military strikes or military actions on at least two separate occasions.
2%
A human-to-human virus is declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO.
2%
A country admits to the Nord Stream sabotage.
2%
At least one of the following three countries is part of a war or military campaign or military strike or military action on either side. (North Korea, Turkmenistan, Eritrea)
2%
A new European political party will start being represented in the European Parliament, OR an old European political party will stop being represented in the European Parliament.
2%
None of these will happen in 2026.
1.3%
A new element is officially added to the periodic table.
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@AlanTennant There is an option in the top right what to sort them by. You control the sorting, not the creator of the market.
3 of to 10 GDP countries, minorities but still government discussion area:
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