Which of the following will be true about the next major AI breakthrough? (after test-time compute)
2
1kṀ522030
57%
it will make AI models better at agentic tasks (such as OSWorld and SWE-bench)
54%
It will allow AI models to become much better at working with long-context
54%
It will allow AI models to learn at test time
50%
It will allow AI models to hallucinate much less
50%
It will allow AI models to use long context more efficiently
50%
It will make make AI models better at visual reasoning
50%
It will make AI models much better at answering competitive math questions
46%
It will make AI models better at making art (creative writing, visual art)
Whether something counts as a breakthrough is according to my subjective judgement. Some examples of things I consider breakthroughs:
Transformer architecture
RLHF
Test-time compute
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