What month will the Supreme Court rule on birthright citizenship?
16
1kṀ1626
Dec 31
4%
April 2026
6%
May 2026
49%
June 2026
23%
July 2026
4%
August 2026
4%
September 2026
4%
October 2026
4%
November 2026 or later
1.4%
Other

This market will resolve to whatever month SCOTUS releases their decision in Trump v Barbara, regarding the compliance of Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship with the 14th amendment. If there is more than one decision release (e.g. a revision is published subsequently) it will resolve to the first date on which a decision in the case is published on the SCOTUS website: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/slipopinion/25.

If the decision is released in November 2026 or later, that option will resolve YES. The “other” option will not resolve yes (sorry about that, it was automatically added).

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