What month will the Supreme Court rule on birthright citizenship?
23
1kṀ5864
Dec 31
0.9%
April 2026
0.9%
May 2026
68%
June 2026
17%
July 2026
3%
August 2026
3%
September 2026
4%
October 2026
1.7%
November 2026 or later
1.3%
Other

This market will resolve to whatever month SCOTUS releases their decision in Trump v Barbara, regarding the compliance of Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship with the 14th amendment. If there is more than one decision release (e.g. a revision is published subsequently) it will resolve to the first date on which a decision in the case is published on the SCOTUS website: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/slipopinion/25.

If the decision is released in November 2026 or later, that option will resolve YES. The “other” option will not resolve yes (sorry about that, it was automatically added).

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@traders A similar market is here:

@AaronSimansky it certainly is similar!

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