The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026
5
1kṀ11252027
81%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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1M
ALL
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors. If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
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