Successful Starship splashdowns before orbital launch attempt?
14
1ká¹€7004Jul 1
1%
4
1.1%
5
1%
6
26%
7
41%
8
30%
The minimum is 4 as i am counting flights 4, 5, 6 and 10 as successfully splashed down.
Update 2025-11-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is not a multiple resolution market - only one option can resolve YES.
The market was temporarily resolved as 4 and then unresolved.
Update 2026-05-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Flight 11 counts as a successful splashdown. Flight 12 appears successful but is pending confirmation from new video releases. If Flight 12 is confirmed, the total successful splashdowns would be 6.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Ordenar por:
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
How many Successful Starship Splashdowns before successful Starship Catch?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?
7% chance
When will Starship successfully land for the first time?
1/10/27
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?