Russia attacks or invades China mainland by mid 2028
10
280á¹€619
2028
4%
chance

Credible sources, battles or clear Russian troops on the other side of the border. Or, bombs them, or does drone strikes. Or other kinetic attacks.

Threats leading to concessions of territory or political union would not count because it's too hard to evaluate. There has to be at least a shot fired.

Get
á¹€1,000
to start trading!
© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade