On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
10
11kṀ38kNov 30
45%
Will Cristobal reach Category 1 wind speeds?
28%
Will Cristobal reach Category 2 wind speeds?
14%
Will Cristobal reach Category 3 wind speeds?
8%
Will Cristobal reach Category 4 wind speeds?
5%
Will Cristobal reach Category 5 wind speeds?
50%
Will Dolly reach Category 1 wind speeds?
32%
Will Dolly reach Category 2 wind speeds?
18%
Will Dolly reach Category 3 wind speeds?
12%
Will Dolly reach Category 4 wind speeds?
7%
Will Dolly reach Category 5 wind speeds?
50%
Will Edouard reach Category 1 wind speeds?
38%
Will Edouard reach Category 2 wind speeds?
28%
Will Edouard reach Category 3 wind speeds?
12%
Will Edouard reach Category 4 wind speeds?
9%
Will Edouard reach Category 5 wind speeds?
52%
Will Fay reach Category 1 wind speeds?
33%
Will Fay reach Category 2 wind speeds?
18%
Will Fay reach Category 3 wind speeds?
11%
Will Fay reach Category 4 wind speeds?
9%
Will Fay reach Category 5 wind speeds?
Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.
Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade. Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.
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@perfperfperf That's correct. Just like we did last year with every name past Melissa /ovals/on-the-saffirsimpson-hurricane-wind
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