In 2040, who will Manifold vote as having had the most positive impact on the development of AI in the 21st century?
23
1ká¹€1260
2040
42%
Other
11%
Ilya Sutskever
10%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
9%
Demis Hassabis
7%
Dario Amodei
6%
Rich Sutton
4%
Paul Christiano
3%
Geoffrey Hinton
3%
Sam Altman
1.2%
Yann LeCun

"Positive" in whatever sense it's interpreted by the individual. Could be capabilities, safety, adoption, whatever.

I'll run the poll in January of 2040.

Get
á¹€1,000
to start trading!
© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade