In 2040, who will Manifold vote as having had the most positive impact on the development of AI in the 21st century?
31
1.1ká¹€17112040
40%
12%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
9%
Demis Hassabis
9%
Dario Amodei
5%
Sam Altman
5%
Geoffrey Hinton
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Paul Christiano
3%
Amanda Askell
1.6%
Stuart Russell
1.3%
Yann LeCun
1.1%
Ilya Sutskever
1%
Daniel Kokotajlo
"Positive" in whatever sense it's interpreted by the individual. Could be capabilities, safety, adoption, whatever.
I'll run the poll in January of 2040.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will AI wipe out Manifold by 2030?
8% chance
At the beginning of 2027, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
71% chance
At the beginning of 2040, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
69% chance
At the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
73% chance
At the beginning of 2029, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
77% chance
At the beginning of 2035, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
73% chance
At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
71% chance
An AI is trustworthy-ish on Manifold by 2030?
48% chance
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
When will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion on Manifold?