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In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
17
1.1káč€437
2030
33%
Attention is all you need
58%
Other
9%
Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition

Resolves to the option with the highest total (aka cumulative) number of citations on 1/1/2030 according to google scholar.

Papers must be about new AI techniques. Not other topics like applications or history. Meta-Analyses don't count either.

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comprou áč€10 YES

Is this citations during 2030 or cumulative evaluated at 12/31/2030 (or 1/1/2030)?

@Mactuary it's the cumulative number of citations on 1/1/2030 (which is the market close date)

Attention is all you need has 120k citations on google scholar

yea, but resnet has 200k

Dang!

comprou áč€1 YES

you did not know?

Nah I'm not actually that across the literature. Hence the market!

it's actually a great thing to bet on, that if attention will have more citations than resnet in 2030

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Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
83% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?
56% chance
Which MATH-AI 23 works will have >50 Google Scholar citations by end of 2026?
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Will a paper fully created by AI be accepted into Nature by 2030?
57% chance
will a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
77% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?
72% chance
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2040?
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