If there exists a super-intelligent AI, would majority of AI researchers answer Yes to "Have we reached AGI?" ?
25
1ká¹€1238
2031
67%
chance

Super-intelligent AI :

"Something along the lines of -> smarter than humans at most cognitive tasks, very very good at some key tasks, and can afford to be indifferent too anything it can't do." (@Duncn's comment)

"AI that is better than majority of the humans at most economically valuable tasks, but not necessarily better than the best humans in all of those tasks."

(I created this market to gauge opinion for @Primer's question)

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How does this resolve?

@ShadowyZephyr Resolves whenever there is such a survey and such a superintelligent AI, until then market trades according to what that survey will point to

previuYES

@firstuserhere Who determines if an AI is superintelligent?

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