If ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
2
275Ṁ392029
4.67 points
esperado1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
6%
0.0 - 1.0
6%
1.0 - 2.0
9%
2.0 - 3.0
19%
3.0 - 4.0
23%
4.0 - 5.0
11%
5.0 - 6.0
6%
6.0 - 7.0
6%
7.0 - 8.0
6%
8.0 - 9.0
6%
9.0 - 10.0
Resolves at the sum of the Democracy Index of the countries that occupy the territory that Ukraine occupied before the Russian invasion in 2022 (excluding Crimea), weighted by the population living in that territory, or N/A if there is no ceasefire in 2025.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2025?
56% chance
If no ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
4.44
If ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Russian territory be in 2028?
2.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?
32% chance
If no ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Russian territory be in 2028?
2.77
Ukraine democracy index 2028
5.1
Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?
35% chance
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
96% chance
End of Russian-Ukraine conflict in 2026?
23% chance
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2027?
52% chance