If no ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Russian territory be in 2028?
2
275Ṁ10052029
2.77 points
esperado1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
16%
0.0 - 1.0
23%
1.0 - 2.0
26%
2.0 - 3.0
12%
3.0 - 4.0
10%
4.0 - 5.0
6%
5.0 - 6.0
1.8%
6.0 - 7.0
1.8%
7.0 - 8.0
1.8%
8.0 - 9.0
1%
9.0 - 10.0
Resolves at the sum of the Democracy Index of the countries that occupy the territory that Russia occupied before the Russian invasion in 2022 (including Crimea), weighted by the population living in that territory.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
If no ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
4.44
What will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
2.1
If Vladimir Putin is not in power in Russia, what will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
3.5
Will the majority of Russians cease to support "the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine" in 2026?
10% chance
Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?
43% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
39% chance
Will Russia be a democracy in 2030?
18% chance
Will Russia be classified as a "flawed democracy" by 2030?
11% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
59% chance
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2027?
57% chance